Reeves says Britain’s future lies in the EU

Reeves says Britain’s future lies in the EU

Rachel Reeves, until recently the person running Britain’s public finances, wrote on Sunday that Brexit “has made us poorer, weaker and less secure”. The practical stakes reach EU students, soldiers and defence firms before any debate about rejoining, because the same article asks for a youth mobility scheme and progress towards the EU’s SAFE defence programme.

Table of contents
  1. A conviction with no route attached
  2. The concrete asks are small
  3. The prime minister keeps the red lines
  4. Voters are further along than the parties

A conviction with no route attached

The article appeared in the Sunday Times and is her first major intervention since she lost the chancellorship. She writes: “I do believe Britain’s future lies in the European Union.” She speaks of “re-entry” and says its supporters must “demonstrate tangible benefits”. In the passages quoted, she names no route: no new accession treaty, no single market, no customs union.

She also welcomes Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s leadership in facing up to the question. Her claim that Brexit made the country poorer is her own judgement, and the passages quoted contain no cost estimate to support it.

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The concrete asks are small

At the coming UK-EU summit she wants confirmation of the youth mobility scheme negotiated earlier this year and “progress towards entry” into SAFE (Security Action for Europe). A defence pact agreed with the EU last May already lets UK-based defence firms join SAFE-funded projects. The date of the summit is given differently in different reports, so it is left open here.

The prime minister keeps the red lines

Burnham says there needs to be an “honest discussion” about the relationship. He has also written to his cabinet that any fundamental change is for the public to decide, which pushes it to the next Parliament, and a general election is due by 2029. Labour’s 2024 manifesto ruled out free movement, single market membership and a customs union.

The Conservatives have said there is no desire to rerun the Brexit debate. Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK, says there is no mandate for closer EU ties.

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Voters are further along than the parties

An Ipsos poll cited in coverage of her article puts support for rejoining at 56 per cent, up 4 points since May, against 30 per cent for staying out. Among likely voters in a future referendum the split is 63 to 34. A London poll by YouGov last month found 67 per cent of Londoners in favour of reversing Brexit, against 44 per cent in the Midlands.

Polls measure opinion and say nothing about the terms of a deal. Reeves has given the rejoin camp a prominent voice without a mechanism, and the prime minister has left the decision to the next Parliament. The only items she asks for at the summit are youth mobility and SAFE.

SOURCES & METHOD

How this article was made. The article rests on four sources, none of them the Sunday Times article itself. The summit date differs between reports and is left out.

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